Wicked Verify - Will the October 2026 mean sunspot number be above 83?
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These committed rules are read together with the adjudication standard in the prediction market terms, which applies to every market and is never used to rewrite a rulebook.
Rulebook commitment
Committed hash:
10635e2b6ca0cf513b3999c2ccaa6b7d62bba746b2b0c97d91ecaa1ec4b16bdd
Recomputed hash:
10635e2b6ca0cf513b3999c2ccaa6b7d62bba746b2b0c97d91ecaa1ec4b16bdd
Commitment intact - the rules were not changed.
The live market still matches the committed rules.
Committed payload
slug=official-will-the-october-2026-mean-sunspot-numbe-a9b097c5 resolves_at=2026-11-03T12:00:00Z opens_at=2026-09-28T21:47:22Z outcomes=0:YES|1:NO rulebook=Resolves Yes if the monthly mean total sunspot number for October 2026 published by SILSO (the Sunspot Index and Long-term Solar Observations service of the Royal Observatory of Belgium) at https://www.sidc.be/SILSO/datafiles is strictly greater than 83.0 when first published on or about 1 November 2026. 83.0 or lower resolves No. Later revisions are ignored. Fallback: the same figure as republished by NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center. If no October figure has been published by 30 November 2026, the market is voided and every stake refunded. How this market pays. You buy shares in an outcome at a price between 0 and 1, and you can place a sell order at any time while the market is open. It fills when a buyer takes it. When the result is confirmed, every share of the winning outcome pays 1 unit of the currency it was bought in, and every share of a losing outcome pays nothing. You pay a fee only when your order crosses the spread: 1.5% of the value it trades. Resting an order in the book is free. If the market is VOIDED we unwind every position: you get back the money still held against your orders, and we refund the fees you paid on this market. After we confirm the result we hold winnings pending for 24 hours, the dispute window. When it closes we credit them to your balance. House position: the operator set this market up and may take a side in it. Any operator stake is placed as The Sheriff and is real money on the same terms as yours - it trades at the book's own prices, pays the same fees, and wins or loses at settlement by the rules above like every other position.
Rulebook
Resolves Yes if the monthly mean total sunspot number for October 2026 published by SILSO (the Sunspot Index and Long-term Solar Observations service of the Royal Observatory of Belgium) at https://www.sidc.be/SILSO/datafiles is strictly greater than 83.0 when first published on or about 1 November 2026. 83.0 or lower resolves No. Later revisions are ignored. Fallback: the same figure as republished by NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center. If no October figure has been published by 30 November 2026, the market is voided and every stake refunded. How this market pays. You buy shares in an outcome at a price between 0 and 1, and you can place a sell order at any time while the market is open. It fills when a buyer takes it. When the result is confirmed, every share of the winning outcome pays 1 unit of the currency it was bought in, and every share of a losing outcome pays nothing. You pay a fee only when your order crosses the spread: 1.5% of the value it trades. Resting an order in the book is free. If the market is VOIDED we unwind every position: you get back the money still held against your orders, and we refund the fees you paid on this market. After we confirm the result we hold winnings pending for 24 hours, the dispute window. When it closes we credit them to your balance. House position: the operator set this market up and may take a side in it. Any operator stake is placed as The Sheriff and is real money on the same terms as yours - it trades at the book's own prices, pays the same fees, and wins or loses at settlement by the rules above like every other position.
