Wicked Verify - Will New Zealand First win the third-most seats at New Zealand's 7 November election?
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Rulebook commitment
Committed hash:
973eba5c774582ba8789de0a1d1820dd50ee754f1afbfbb902b8c9f63529ba32
Recomputed hash:
973eba5c774582ba8789de0a1d1820dd50ee754f1afbfbb902b8c9f63529ba32
Commitment intact - the rules were not changed.
The live market still matches the committed rules.
Committed payload
slug=official-will-new-zealand-first-win-the-third-mos-e638e5e9 resolves_at=2026-11-27T12:00:00Z opens_at=2026-09-28T21:41:23Z outcomes=0:YES|1:NO rulebook=New Zealand holds a general election on 7 November 2026. Resolves Yes if New Zealand First wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives in the final official result. Any other placing resolves No. If two parties tie on seats, the one with more party votes ranks higher. Settled from the Electoral Commission's official results at https://www.electionresults.govt.nz, then from Radio New Zealand, then from Reuters. If the election is postponed beyond 31 March 2027, the market is voided and every stake refunded. How this market pays. Every stake on the same outcome goes into that outcome's pot, and each currency is settled separately. When the result is confirmed, the winning side takes the whole pot in that currency and we split it in proportion to what each player staked, so you get your winning stake back in full plus its share of what the losing side staked. The platform rake is 5% of the losing side's stakes. We never take it from a winner's own stake, so you cannot lose money on a winning bet. In three cases we return the money instead of paying it out: if the market is VOIDED, every stake is refunded in full; if nobody backed the winning outcome in a currency, every stake in that currency is refunded in full; and if nobody took the other side, every stake is refunded in full and no rake is taken. After we confirm the result we hold winnings pending for 24 hours, the dispute window. When it closes we credit them to your balance. House position: the operator set this market up and may take a side in it. Any operator stake is placed as The Sheriff and is real money on the same terms as yours - it wins or loses with the pool, gets no better odds, and is settled by the rules above like every other stake.
Rulebook
New Zealand holds a general election on 7 November 2026. Resolves Yes if New Zealand First wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives in the final official result. Any other placing resolves No. If two parties tie on seats, the one with more party votes ranks higher. Settled from the Electoral Commission's official results at https://www.electionresults.govt.nz, then from Radio New Zealand, then from Reuters. If the election is postponed beyond 31 March 2027, the market is voided and every stake refunded. How this market pays. Every stake on the same outcome goes into that outcome's pot, and each currency is settled separately. When the result is confirmed, the winning side takes the whole pot in that currency and we split it in proportion to what each player staked, so you get your winning stake back in full plus its share of what the losing side staked. The platform rake is 5% of the losing side's stakes. We never take it from a winner's own stake, so you cannot lose money on a winning bet. In three cases we return the money instead of paying it out: if the market is VOIDED, every stake is refunded in full; if nobody backed the winning outcome in a currency, every stake in that currency is refunded in full; and if nobody took the other side, every stake is refunded in full and no rake is taken. After we confirm the result we hold winnings pending for 24 hours, the dispute window. When it closes we credit them to your balance. House position: the operator set this market up and may take a side in it. Any operator stake is placed as The Sheriff and is real money on the same terms as yours - it wins or loses with the pool, gets no better odds, and is settled by the rules above like every other stake.
